RE: Red Rock Resources 18 year history, Sun 30.6.2430 Jun 2024 19:50
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The issue here, like many AIM junior mining plays, concerns the 'rolling short' scenario.
What is a rolling short you may ask, it is simple, when a company continually issues new shares entities get wise and place bets on the stock falling via various mechanisms, these entities will use bulletin boards to disrupt and destroy positive sentiment, in the meantime stock, often not owned, is sold forward (usually called naked forward selling) this selling drops the share price, it also may trigger stop losses which further adds downward pressure, a downhill snowball effect occurs.
In RRR's case these entities know that RRR (Bell) will issue stock regardless of price and that allows them to naked short the stock without risk. Anyone who has shorted this stock over the last 24/36 months has made a fortune.
The only way to break this scenario is for the company to do something unexpected, as it stands right now everyone expects Bell to place stock, the likelihood is that 200/300m/400m shares have been naked forward sold as the sellers expect to be able to close via a new issue of stock (the placing)
If Bell does not place stock but finds cash elsewhere and further states that funding via equity will no longer be needed in the medium term then the share price will rocket as the scramble to close these naked short positions will create a very significant bear squeeze.
The 'issue' with RRR (Bell) is the never ending dilution process, has anyone ever considered that the 'major shareholders' might also be shorting the stock, they could loan their shares for a fee and be part of the aforementioned process, who knows, every angle needs to be explored or considered and why not.
Let us see what happens, above all else RRR needs to stop endless dilution and deliver alternative routes of cash generation ASAP.