RE: OP9 Mar 2020 17:50
So the main serious issues with oil market are...
No plans of what will happen next
Uncertainty of a solution in this big players game of brinkmanship
Big collateral damage to shale is certain now but you cannot kill off shale completely
SA can produce max just below 12 m b and Russia cannot do more than extra 200 k barrel
UAE,Kuwait,Iraq and others cannot add more than a few hundreds of thousands either
So with this very low oil price and shale 13+ m barrel a day ,it will be most affected financially and banks will not lend them more at their current state with a very low op. Many shale will have to shut down and agreement must be found soon as the ripple effects to the financial institutions are huge and catastrophic to world economic recovery with the current Coronavirus added disaster. Recession ,crashed usa stock market and weakening of bank lenders and financial institutions in the usa are the last things Trump wants to face in his year of presidential elections.
Solution must be found to satisfy all which results in much higher oil price than now . This must happen soon before its too late...
Just imv....