RE: Pipeline5 Oct 2022 23:47
gaslady / bullfrog,
Excellent news! Thanks for posting!
So, we have ARA spudding CH-1a in November, with a rig pretty much guaranteed to be a lot bigger and better than the Caroil 3 rig that AEX used (see the list of Sakson rigs I posted this week). A lot less risk there I would say (of issues with the gas pressure that we had at LK-1 and NT-2), and an example of how professional ARA are.
TPDC are already working fast to get the pipeline plans in place ready for first gas from Ruvuma ASAP. They are not waiting for CH-1a to hit gas, they want to be well ahead of the curve (a first for Tanzania and TPDC I'm sure!).
I see this news as very material to the AEX valuation, because it removes all of the doubt and risk as to who will pay for the pipeline, and how quickly that pipeline will be built. Going by the articles it's pretty clear to me that the pipeline will be in place ASAP, with the go ahead to start work likely being given the instant the CH-1a gas flow results reach the TPDC Directors desk.
We still have a lot of potential for the imminent 3D results to increase the multiple CH-1a and CH-1b targets, and the subsequent full field 3D results increasing the total for the Ruvuma development.
Investors should be like TPDC, don't wait around sitting on your hands, this is happening and the time for action is now, not in 6-9 months' time. As I said recently, investing in AEX is actually investing in ARA, because they are doing everything, AEX just report their progress to us.