RE: Sysco Update26 Mar 2023 21:37
Burford only has the normal amount of problems that any ordinary billion dollar company has, nothing out of the ordinary here, it's in the business of litigation, the whole point of litigation is that someone is always in some kind of conflict or at odds with one or more parties, Burford has daily disputes that get ironed out behind closed doors every single day. this door got left open unfortunately. and because it was $140 million dollars of funding.
Burford is waiting on the YPF litigation case decision from judge preska, the fact that Argentina along with most other countries in the world have massive amounts of serious debt is not really Burfords problem, it's Argentina's problem. It's most likely that Burford will win this case, and Argentina will be hit with a bill of around $19 billion dollars, and as usual it gets discounted by 50% if they want to negotiate on that amount to around $8.4 billion , with that amount already acknowledged and proven by the amount Argentina have already pencilled in for the settlement of this case , they never do that for no good reason. they have listened to their own top lawyers advising them, and told to expect to pay out that $8.4 billion. and if they don't pay out, then burford will most likely sell some or even all of the $19 billion dollar judgment to 3rd parties and at a large industry standard discount, most likely well below that $8.4 billion figure. Burfords is in the business of reducing risk wherever it can, so that would be in keeping with their past decision making judgements around settlements /money.
Burfords and sysco yes it's embarrassing for Burford ok, though believe me burford wouldn't fight this if it thought for one second that it was in the wrong, with Burford being the all round expert in this field, wouldn't you expect them to fully understand all the complexities around this unfortunate situation, so they will respectfully sort it out if they can, and if not then they also know how to play hardball in litigation cases. It will get sorted ok , and to the satisfaction of Burfords bank balance.
The really big payday that's literally guaranteed in only my opinion is the high settlement amounts coming in later this year, around 30 cases should massively bring in well over $600 +million dollars, I'm sticking my neck out and saying it could be over $750 million dollars, because those pent up court closure claims should come in around now, I'm expecting a bumper payday this year no matter what our YPF case does, it's the unknown here, and a possible multi billion dollar massive YPF case bonus thats there for absolutely nothing in the share price, Burford has always stated it's modelling shows over $600+million dollars profit per year could be expected and even before any court closures and pent up cases are taken into consideration, so we can expect something really special this year one way or another. Around $750