RE: Due Diligence is DONE - The clock is ticking - executing a final contract for sale3 Nov 2021 08:19
From the ACF research note:
https://acfequityresearch.com/eurasia-mining/
EUA progress cuts risk rate
We raise our valuation range >40% for Eurasia Mining (EUA.L), an AiM-quoted Russian Pd / battery metals dominated PGM mine. The valuation approach and range remain conservative. We have examined the overall risk of EUA’s projects and concluded that recent progress reduces our project execution risk assumption. We have expressed this risk reduction by cutting our WACC on the Monchetundra Flanks project only from above 22% to 17%, still very significantly above our 8% WACC for EUA PGM producing asset West Kytlim. We continue to exclude iridium and rhodium assets and the Rosgeo JV from our DCF but examine the potential effects of the Rosgeo JV on resources and reserves trading multiples. We look forward to the Rosgeo JV Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) on 6 of 9 assets, expected in a few weeks.
EUA sum of the parts valuation £2.96bn operations contributions – it is still all about Monchetundra
(Yet to include Rosgeo JV, Iridium resource from projects or Monchetundra Lo+Wn+Flanks Rhodium resource, PGM price assumptions highly conservative vs. 2021 average and current spot prices)
Rh production excluded from valuation for all but West Kytlim. License granted 15 Moz Flanks by Sevzapnedra, reducing flanks risk; Pd supply constrained; PGM prices significantly exceed our valuation assumptions.
Serious upgrade has to be coming.........