RE: New guy looking into odx17 Nov 2020 13:31
Well, this has the chance to go back into the 40's, despite the massive future ODX has. It also has the chance to go to £3-£4, based purely on selling 2.5m tests a week from Marc 2021.
They are doing everything right, but we have had persistent sellers (Sneller, Legal and General). Sneller has his reasons for selling, and no one here is privy to that. L&G I believe are closing a fund....IMO this creates opportunities for us PI's...
If you worried about investing, then I suggest you wait and see and when MRHA approval comes and sales pick up you will be able to ride the run up from here to over £1, or from £1 up to £3, or somewhere in between.
I have found that you have plenty of time to invest on AIM. You can ride the waves or wait for the low points to keep drip feeding to the market. Research is the key and make sure you understand what the company is worth and stick to your plan, unless something changes.
For me, this is a buy all day long. Selling 2.5m tests a week at £1.75 with 75% GP = £1.31*2.5m = £3.2m per week profit. Annualised thats £170m profit. (This is worst case as they will sell Aids/Food Doctor at much higher costs per unit and profit will be averagely higher....).
However, assuming an 8x multiplier for value that takes the EV to £1.365bn / 5x = £853m
Shares in Issue = 180m....
Current Market Cap = £96m
I would say that the opportunity is solidly stacked in our favour. In short, I believe there is potential for 8 to 14x current mkt cap. FDA approval is an awesome piece of news.
Any other views gratefully accepted.