RE: Calling granto's !!4 Dec 2015 13:50
A mine of this size is capable to generating 4m carats of sellable sapphires annually, and full ramp up should not take much longer than 48 months. the current 375,000 per quarter is really the opening rampup quarter of full production here and I would estimate this will increase to 500,000 to 600,000 by Q2/Q3. Current mining costs at under $3 a carat and this will improve with economies of scale to around $2.50 by next Q2/3. this will put the company in a marginally profitable position and in control of its destiny. what I mean by that is options to Heat treat stones for specific buyers, invest in equipment, marketing, new contacts in sales, reputation building, all these things are part of ramp up its not just the production, even though that is the primary issue. I would be disappointed of RLD does not reach 2m carats for 2016 as a minimum. as an investment, I would suggest that as it stands the company is about to enter the profit zone and will once there open new ideas and directions. However, with a tinge of regret I fell this is an absolute buyout target for mid scale miner like the oft mentioned Gemfields. Sapphire's are the one string to Gemfields bow that is missing, and better still the mine is a politically sound country unlike some of its other mines. If I were Gemfields CEO this would be a 'must buy' project. The Chinese are buying every decent asset in sight and while this is a small morsel it is an attractive one. owning the 'biggest Sapphire mine in the WORLD' has a certain 'wow' factor. Of course there are Austalian Sapphire mines with 'world class stones' and if these were added to the project and product mix, you would have a real sweet package to sell. So, I think if you have invested here, you have invested wisely, albeit a big risk investment with lots of unknowns. Richland would resist any sale and its management are ambitious and will want to grow and expand of the years ahead. If production target ares met and sales are managed carefully, even a slightly profitable Richland would be worth a mutable of its share price today. The likes of Gemfields would say ' If Richland can make $1m annually from the mine, if we strip out the cost of Richland management and corporate structure, we could make $3m from it'…. It would be a sad day to see the dream being sold, but if a generous offer was tabled ….. Blackrock Inc won't be sentimental about giving the nod…….DYOR and GLA……bets of luck and I hope that helps a little.