RE: Hurricane is delivering to tankers on a regular basis9 Jul 2020 23:27
My take on Hurricane for what its worth and based on 2020 trends :
2020 T/O +- $210m , Production 5.2 m boe .
Cash +- $170m at 31/12/2020 ( $100m 2020 + $70m operating profit )
2021 Lincoln tie in 9,800 ( 50% net to Hurricane ) Capex for tie in , allocated 2020 .
Ave 2021 Brent $40 Production 20k boepd . 7.2m boe . Revenue $290m
The above 2020 and 2021 profits cover the Cb's due July 2022.
Even with a poor water cut and reservoir performance below expectations on Lancaster, if managed at 15k boepd options exist to take the larger project forward.
By opening up production on Lincoln , Hurricane substantially reduce risk and expand their F.B knowledge in a cost effective manner . If Spirit doesn't partner on Lincoln , Hur retain the 9,800 production.
End 2021 with Brent ave $40 ( Shale will have been hammered in 2020) Hurricane will be in a strong position having the knowledge from Lancaster , Lincoln and Warwick to deliver a highly productive new well Lancaster 8 .
A partner on Halifax once the FB concept is proven would also be a game changer .
A buyout at this point is still high risk as this is still an unproven concept in WOS. However the opportunity exists for the new board to make a name for themselves by bringing the project to full potential and delivering a multi bagger for all Stakeholders .