RE: MKA REE and Rare Earths31 Aug 2025 11:29
Spot on
Ultimately
- REE has an attractive resource, containing 42500 tonnes of (measured) material suitable for permanent magnets, the market is now more about specific RE's such as Nd, Pr, Ty and Db.
- Recent fund raise of Β£500K brought in a total of Β£851K, showing investor demand and retail interest.
- Favourable Jurisdiction with ground work already partially completed, showing a strong project with a promising resource
However these are much more important factors in the short term
- In September 2024 China set up an export tracking system, at the time I said this was a precursor to cutting off RE's which of course happened for several elements in early 2025 and now the entire tap has been shut off (this is also why I knew Trumps Tarriff threats would have zero impact, because China has been planning this all along way before Trump got in power)
- When China cut off Antimony, Gallium and Germanium in 2023/24, prices skyrocked in the following 12 months. (albeit some have come back down slightly) these are more aligned to the 'Chips' market (think Nvidia GPU's) vs National Security when you look at the importance of Nd, Pr, Ty and Db.
- My prediction then was that Nd et al would also 'skyrocket', albeit not at once but over the next 12 months. YTD NdPr prices have risen 55% and the US has introduced a price floor across the board at $110KG
The importance of this cannot truly be understated
Pre-2025, almost every single RE project outside of a few in Australia were not economical due to suppressed pricing and subsidies from China. Imagine you own 90% of a comoddity and you dont want the world to have it, so what you do it you offer subisidies in government, lets say tax breaks and 30-40% premiums on the exports to your in-house miners, so they can sell at prices that make every other project outside of china (and Myanmar) go bust. This is why MP materials Mountain Pass mine in the US initially closed down... and why it is now re-opening.
So anyone who is judging a RE company based on anything pre-2025, because the market has totally flipped.
What makes REE interesting is the following
- they have a deposit which contains national security minerals
- they have been ENGAGED by the US
Not only that, but look at the 'new' players in the market that didnt exist last time there was a major RE spike
- MP Materials now trading at ~$15bn USD
- USAR now trading at $1.6bn USD
- Niocorp and Ucore trading at serious numbers ($800m+)
In the UK we have seen RE projects also return solid gains, my LTH MKA (Mkango Resources) is up a cool 800% in the last 12 months and Pensana is up similar from the lows
So, as REE sits at an all time low, fully cashed up (albeit there is a Β£1m bond to restructure in a few months, I am not worried about this) then we have the opportunity to invest in the hottest sector in the world, at all time lows, in a project that has considerably increased in importance and value, and has US inter