Economy & Market conditions1 Feb 2015 22:44
I would have hoped to hear some news from the company to usher in the new year now that Stratex is at the helm. Are they doing anything with the surface oxide resources? Is a processing plant on the cards in conjunction with other companies? Are they going to focus their efforts or are they still split over 3 countries?
The good news is that (imo) gold is going to find a bottom about 1220 - I can't see it going below this again in 2015. Things are going to get interesting - no doubt about that as interest rates will rise at some point this year.
I'm not sure how much of the American economic recovery is dependent on shale oil (and if the companies are making a loss at the current prices) but unless the companies start defaulting on bank loans in a big way, Oil will stabilise around $55 and slowly increase before another spike in a couple of years time. Banks are not too big to fail - they know that there will be no second bailout, so should have factored enough risk into the loans to allow the fracking companies plenty of rope.
China is also trying to stabilise as they are aware that with more people getting older, they will not have the income or desire to purchase as many new items produced by industry. They are getting ready for an industrial slowdown which will mean they will also not require as much fuel. They are looking at a long term strategy and i'm actually impressed by their honest foresight.
No, I’ve not posted this in the wrong section, even though most of this looks like a post about oil production. Chinese growth has slowed and is no longer as scary as it used to be; the strong American dollar is going to lose a little muscle once the interest rates rise - even if it is only a token amount and while the price of oil is not as high as the producers (except those in Saudi Arabia) would like, it will lower the cost for transport and services which will help ease any pain felt by the rate rise for the rest of the economy.
Basically, things were rebalancing. The price of gold rose considerably after the 2008 crash when people invested in it while the various governments and economies got their act together. Now that they have stabilised (mostly), investors have been taking their capital back out of gold, hence the price drop and a fairly flat 2014. I believe the true value has been found and even if there are another few months of uncertainty, the price will gradually rise in the latter part of the year.
Like I said, this is just my opinion. The gold price is settling and as conditions move in the market’s favour, will slowly increase (with or without oil). I think this puts Goldstone on a slightly firmer footing and hopefully the end of year results will also give us a boost.
Well done if you got this far.
It wasn't like anything else was getting posted here anyway :o)