RE: Panmure note8 Sep 2024 01:34
At ~$500/MCF, the income estimates would be:
500 x 0.834 = $417 per day for the natural flow. Or $152,205 for the year.
500 x 6.176 = $3,088 per day with artificial lift. Or $1,127,120 per year
There is no proper way to determine the price of helium, but many sources are saying that demand could double in the next 10 years. That being the case, with 20/30 wells bringing in around $1M per year, what value would the company have? Recent spot prices have been in the thousands in some regions.
Of course, we need to pay for the infrastructure and development of the wells, but there has not been any mention of Capex and Opex for about a year since the Aug/Sep 2023 presentation when they were raising money for Itambula. Things will probably have changed since then, but the modular plant setup (1,000sqm) had a Capex cost of $50M for producing 350,000Mcf/yr (150 wells?) with a plant Opex of around $15 per Mcf. The government holds 16% free carry which is a relatively small cost, and we will need to build a proper road from the facility to the highway. Overall the time to pay off the expenditure will only be a few years when we have all the wells online if the averages are maintained.