RE: Why this stock?3 Sep 2021 11:13
Hi CT,
Most on this board will know i've been a big fan of TGR since December and its listing - I can only say that I have been more impressed as time goes on and the investment case has improved markedly since then - demand for graphite in forecasts has continued to rise as the scale of the electrification of mobility has become more widely recognised and the number of battery factories being built around the world continues to grow.
I invested off the back of TGR's Madagascar flake graphite and the planned specialty (mostly for the spherical) graphite production in India - the graphene side, while attractive, was still a bit of an unknown back at the end of last year, and arguably still is until we receive feedback from the development partners and further testing results of the Al-Gr Composite.
Since December, the company has increased its ambitions by increasing the target for total flake production in Madagascar to 84,000tpa from 81,000tpa by 2024 and we are due the commissioning of the 1st Vatomina module to take it to 12,000tpa capacity in the 'immediate term' per last RNS - increasing to 30,000tpa in the 1st half of next year.
The company has unveiled a potentially transformational Aluminium-Graphene composite and is working with major partners such as Rolls Royce. If this comes off and application testing is successful, then even the sky is not the limit - think about how many applications use Copper (always in the news these days lol) which could use a more lightweight, better thermal conductor and similar electrical conductor.
Lastly, the company is in the process of acquiring 2 major and well developed graphite assets in Mozambique, almost adjacent to the world's largest ex-China producer, Syrah Resources. Production from the first of these assets, construction-ready Montepuez, is lined up for a 50,000tpa stage 1 and at least doubles for stage 2. You can see what production from assets of this scale, together with Madagascar production, would do for the profile of TGR - it would/will become one of the world's largest producers outside of China using efficient and Green processing methods.
The vertical integration of the company i.e. being able to provide flake graphite to its own specialty graphite operations (+ to its graphene division) helps efficiencies, keeps costs down and will help guarantee good margins and certainty of supply in the future. I really hope we hear more about the spherical graphite plans as I think this is the real money maker for graphite companies in the space based on the value added processes to produce it and its requirement in Li-ion battery anodes.
All of this is likely to be built out in line with market demand.
Just from comparing the initial unaudited results with the previous year you can gain a sense of the scale of growth that is possible here with revenues and profits increasing by serious %s year on year.
Enjoy your research!