RE: Tweet from Shaun12 Jul 2022 14:40
Very in-depth and interesting broker note from Sprott today. 17p might seem low but…last paragraph page 1…
“Initiate with BUY rating and 17p PT
Our modelled 9Mtpa SLOS operation producing 668koz pa payable AuEq cornerstones our A$3.8bn NAV (A$404/oz inventory). We add our 6Moz caveable material at half this valuation, and net of G&A and net cash, initiating with a BUY rating and 1xNAV5%-1850 17p PT diluted for options. Key price drivers are drilling / MRE / 4Q22 BFS / debt funding, all ahead of 2024 production.”
So they seem to be pricing each ounce at only A$404 for the initial phase and the second “extra” 6moz phase at half that which is A$202 per ounce. They also expect us to eventually get to nearly 800koz per annum (thumbs up emoji) - bear in mind also the above is in Aussie Dollars, so that is bloody cheap for an ounce of gold, almost crazy prices.
The info given in this note is excellent compared to others but seem to be ultra conservative in terms of profit per ounce, probably due to their risk status, hence, massive scope for increase in SP when we get to first ore and the “true value” of each of our ounces is defined.
The chapter in Shaun Day is brilliant too. Almost like something he would write himself. Can’t get much bigger of a compliment than that paragraph :-0
That’s my take on it anyway. Any expansion on this by people with more knowledge appreciated, but it seems pretty self-explanatory, so don’t think I’m reading it wrong.