Dilute Dilute - Pigs in the tough or what the company needs ?21 Apr 2021 11:31
Fully funded, but wasn't that slowly happening anyway ? All our income was going towards capex, and just the last quarter alone raised half a million dollars.
I cannot be the only shareholder annoyed with the blatantly greed driven and seemingly pointless amount of devaluing our shares are about to be dealt. A potential market cap of £100m used to mean a potential SP of 215p, now it will mean less than half of that. Was it even worth it to get rid of that potential growth when the capex could have been raised in a couple of years anyway, and then dilute at 50p to 100p to get the capex over the line, not 20p (basically the lowest share prices ever for GAL, blasting and CV19 crisis aside).
The company is about the raise the number of shares to around 100m from 46m currently.
The last fundraiser was already done at a crazy low price 50p equivalent, diluting shareholders.
At 20p our market cap will be 20m.
Going by The Mining Plan :
https://www.galantas.com/operations/2014-resource-assessment/
https://www.galantas.com/assets/Uploads/92d7d9741c/July-FINAL-GAL-43-101-PERC-2014v9.pdf
OPERATING CASH FLOW AT AN AVERAGE GOLD PRICE OF UK£750 PER OUNCE, production of UK£394 per ounce Over 6 years : £33,331,706 works out as production of 93600 oz.
Updating with reasonable estimate, Gold prices of £1200 costs of £450 per ounce
Means new estimate of returns is £70m - As an MC that's only a potential SP of 70p (old 7p).
Assuming there will exploration and the LOM extended to 10 years or more.
Year 3 to 5 show the most generated cash. With gold prices of £1200 instead of the £800
Quoted then a reasonable estimate of £20m for the year, with 50% returning to shareholders could mean an MC of 100m to 150m and an SP in the region of 100p to 150p
Basically, over a pound a share with the (now faint) prospect of dividends as well.
So can we see what the plan is, the old fashioned AIM mining share, rinse & repeat?
II's can buy loads of shares at 20p and sell them at 40p whilst the new CEO sells the story, the volume increases, the rampers arrive.
All well and good to be funded, but the reason for retailers and the herd to buy GAL shares has just been kicked in the teeth. IMO shareholder value could have been maintained.
I will look to sell all my holding in the coming spikes.
The kind of attitude shown in companies tends to stick, leopards do not change their spots.