RE: DIS Valuation potential17 Nov 2025 11:30
Edo, re-look at the workings and reasoning I have provided previously, and copied below. In particular, the multiples for the recent t/o of Google's Domains business. If you look at Google's sale, which is on a very low multiple versus CVC's Name Cheap t/o, you will see it's at 1.25x Sales. We don't know their Adj EBITDA for Google Domains, but it's thought to be very low. Look at our valuation based on forward sales for DIS at 1.25x, and you get a valuation of 80p, which corresponds to 11-12x Adj EBITDA at £22-23m. If this mgt team sell us for less than 70p value they should be strung up. The Americans will pay this and more. And I'd expect our major shareholders will be pressuring for the best valuation if they want to cash out. The only way this could go south is if Kestrel team up with another entity, rob us with mgt complicity, and then flip it. That would be d@dgy as f@ck, and I think they will get their price in a sealed bid scenario with a reserve price set at 70p.
We have circa 25-27p worth of debt. I'd think the market will value Comparison at $60m (5x multiple), and Search at $20m (2.5x multiple). That's roughly the debt value. So whatever we get for DIS, is where I think the sp will end up with debt and the rest of the business cancelling each other out. Bottom line, they better not f@ck this up like they did with Shinez.
Repeated
I looked into the sale of the Domains business for NameCheap to CVC and Google's Domains to SquareSpace.
Breakdown as follows:
- NameCheap t/o for $1.5bn (inc Debt).
- Circa 30m Domains.
- NameCheap Revenue = circa $400m
- Valuation multiple = 3.77x Revenue
- Google t/o for $180m
- Circa 10m Domains.
- Google Revenue = circa $140m (Analysts estimate - No listed number)
- Valuation multiple = 1.25x Revenue
Team Internet Group:
- Circa 13m Domains based on Gemini - Unsure due to .Co and other wins.
- Revenue = $210m
- Valuation:
- 1.25x Revenue (Low-end) = $262.5m
- 3.77x Revenue (High-end) = $792m
The high end is obviously crazy numbers, and we would have sold by now if we could get even half that value. The low-end looks more realistic, and sets a reasonable expectation. Not Disclosed* but analysts have mentioned that because Google Domains was primarily a strategic, low-cost service for Google (often selling domains at or near wholesale cost to encourage use of Google Workspace), its profitability (EBITDA) may have been very low or potentially even negative for a stand-alone business.
Based on above, I would hope they are looking to sell for the Google multiple at a minimum, which is 80p and roughly 12x Adj EBITDA. It may seem a bit crazy, but we're talking US funds/companies as buyers, and there have been multiple approaches, so leverage in negotiations. The additional share / scale that TIG would provide, alongside pricing power to their existing business, would make this attractive to Squarespace, GoDaddy, and CVC. It does feel as though 75-80p could be easily achiev