RE: NM isn't happy and it's not over13 Dec 2025 17:00
I certainly don't know why Mather agreed to offer non binding agreement. He could have abstained. I also don't know why the board were 'minded' to recommend the offer either. They didn't need to do that. They could have just said that BHP, Maxit and NEM were supportive of the bid but the BoD's feel it significantly undervalues the company. They could have then put out a bullish statement about bright future and all that jazz. Instead... we got a WTF RNS!
As many will know, NEM were the weak link. It was rumoured that Jiangxi were tapping them up for their 10.2% stake. Had they got that agreed, then they would be in strong position with 22.5% holding. However, the rug was pulled when BHP also threw in the towel. Yes it was non binding... but seriously... they can't go messing their shareholders about, so you have to take it at face value. That was a huge dissappointment. On that basis, Jiagnxi would own 32.8%. And finally, you have that wet f@rt... Bob / Maxit. He's been wanting out for years. With his 5%... Jiangxi move to 37.9%.
This is the main problem. That holding would give Jiangxi a virtually unbreakable grip on SOLG. Any chance of competitve bids go out the window.
Now here's one to ponder... the last time SOLG had a simialr unwanted approach was back in the days when Newcrest were keen to by the company. They offered 25p a share (albeit with 2bln shares in issue or even less I think). The deal fell through, but here's what happened... Bob/Maxit wanted to go with the deal. Instead, SOLG/Mather found another interested party. BHP. Bob/Maxit sold a large stake to BHP at 25p a share. A year or so later, BHP took another decent sized wedge of shares at 45p.
So we've been here before. If Jiagnxi fail to secure the votes they need, then I highly suspect they'll take Bob's/Maxit shares at 28p. Same with NEM and BHP. So they'll get to 37.9% anyway.
However, as before... Mather/SOLG may be able to find another buyer for NEM or BHP stakes. xxck Bob... he can farq off anyway. This is what I would be doing right now if I were SOLG management... i'd be trying to find another large player or a number of II's that are interested in taking on that stock.
Another option would be to sweet talk NEM to holding their stock and inexchange for that, they get a wedge of the regionals/ExploreCo. That would then leave the task of finding a buyer for BHP's stock. Trouble is... they have to find someone willing to pay 28p a share.
Some might think that Jiangxi owning 37%+ is not a major worry... but I assure you... if they get that far, then it's like a slow death as they will vote everything down and they will seek change of BoD's. Put their own people in... and thus company slips away under their control as leading shareholder.
Two ways SOLG can survive this... 1. It gets blocked by Noboa/Trump. Or 2..... SOLG find a way to persuade NEM to back out or they find a buyer for their stock.
In meantime... there is always a chance of someone el