RE: Offer17 Dec 2025 20:03
NMM, the MRE on TAM was rushed out and as you missing key data. I'd rather have that dished up first and done properly. I would welcome an updated PFS based on the same or similar metal prices used by Solaris. It would make our numbers look terrific. However, for balance, the capex will rise as well. And I fear what that number could be and what the market might think of it. Hence why I referenced the Solaris PFS. The market didn't blink when they issued theirs. In fact they put on another 20% I think.
But you know what this london index would do if we presented an updated PFS with a capex of $3bln. The headlines wouldn't be about the improved IRR or NAV or reduced 4 year to say 3 year investment period. The headline would be SOLG's capex 'doubles'. Sad isn't it?
There's a reason why Solaris's capex is high... it's a simple one... Open pit is expensive. Block cave is cheap. Most investors misunderstand this. The key difference is that block cave requires more capital 'up front' and it's more risky. But once it's up and running, there is no cheaper way to mine.
We have TAM open pit now. That's more than capable of delivering cash flows that repay within 2 years imho. 3rd years cash feeds back into Cascabel. It is and was a great story and TAM was the game changer. I say 'was' because it's almost forgotten now. All that momentum gone through this pony Chinese offer. That's why I want that blocked. I want it gone. I want to get back to where we were and crack on. It might be turbulent but I think we'll emerge in much better shape. Solaris don't have any super majors on their register. They are doing just fine. If we can get rid of ours somehow, we can start again and find new partners with a better derisked story behind us.
We can't go for 28p. It would be the worse deal in the history of mining... and it comes when precious metals are at an all time high and theres a resources war going on out there between US and China for farqs sake.
Block it!