RE: Could it be as simple as this?16 Dec 2025 08:42
Montecristo2,
The trouble is... money doesn't grow on tree's Chinese know this and so does Bob at Maxit. SOLG could outright turn the 28p down, but Jiangxi would just do a private deal with NEM, BHP and Maxit. They would get to around 36% anyway. When it that position, they can boss around how we raise cash... they can put people on our board to keep their mate Mr Lui company. They are slowly eat this company inside out. Without a major holder to contend them, it's game over.
Oh... and then there's the cash required. So lets assume we block chinese and we are back to going it alone with great news flow lined up. Mmm. The market is going to say... how are you gonna fund this. The options are.. copper stream or bank finance or CB's etc and equity dilution. The chances are our PFS will be pumped up to $2.5bln minimum with TAM bolted on. Open pit is more expensive than block cave (large scale) but easier to mine.
Bottom line is... like the GGP story unfolded... their sp was 32p+ or something like that and then it got messy as they had to dilute to fund and acquire assets. Sp was 3p by the time they started to recover. The money was there to be made at the pre-development stage. Not at the development stage. That's mining for you.
Something many will learn on here going forward. The lesson is... enjoy the exploration phases but when that's over and the dauting task of financing it looms... get out.
Look at Empire Metals. Similar over there. 1p or 2p all the way to 80p+. Then thoughts start shifting to how is this going to be financed. How much does it cost to derisk the asset. Then the bubble bursts. It's 30p range now.
The path to going it alone is littered with risk and huge dilution although TAM certainly helps reduce that. Solaris as an example for what ever reason, has a market cap of £1bln ish and their capex is $3.7bln. For an Ecuador minnow... that's huge. But how are they going to fund that $3.7bln?? Market doesn't seem to care one bit nor does it care about the cheap price SOLG is going for.
If we were on ASX where they appreciate miners. I don't think we'd be around now. Unfortunately, we listed on London LSE and that market is dead in the water for mining as a whole. Metals boom has sparked it up a bit but it's like trying to get blood out of a stone on this index. Want a bank or phama or pension insurance fund to invest in ... LSE is your go to.