RE: Share Prophets8 Feb 2022 18:32
Couldn't care less what Share Prophets says, nor any other Twitterati type guru for that matter.
When I first read the RNS this morning I thought it was simply notice that Oxilio were moving forward with development of OXL001/OXL002 and that in itself was a welcome sign of progress and perhaps advancement towards milestones etc.. However, it then sank in that it was in actually talking about CINV and NXP001 rather than OXL001/OXL002 and oncology which caused some confusion and possible concern over what is actually happening here.
As far as I understand, the agreement we have with Oxilio is for an exclusive, global license to repurpose NXP001 only as a cancer treatment. It was supposed to be a side-agreement which did not affect our rights to license NXP001 for CINV (or any other indication) to other parties.
This RNS now casts doubt on whether or not we still have that right as it is unclear exactly what has been agreed. Do Oxilio already have exclusive rights to NXP001 for both CINV and oncology? Can they create as many oncology indications as they like in addition to CINV while only ever having to pay a total of £2m per annum in royalties to us? Or , is this something else? Has Oxilio, as part of the terms of the deal (and perhaps a reduced upfront payment), agreed to pay for further research/development of NXP001 CINV at their own expense with the the caveat that, if they like it, they get first refusal on a separate deal which is yet to be negotiated?
If it is the first scenario then I fail to see how this deal has been good for Nuformix shareholders. Blackwell himself said oncology alone was a market of $130bn. If Oxilio create something that corners just 1% of that then they have a £1bn blockbuster on their hands. Just 1% royalties on that would have been worth £10m per annum to us, why did we agree to cap it at £2m? If you add CINV to the equation then it just rubs salt in the wound.
That said , if it turns out to be the second scenario then I can understand the excitement of today although I don't understand why the board didn't make this clear from the outset.
As OBW said earlier, clarification is required.