RE: Good time to buy16 Feb 2019 14:02
Jh....you are talking about 2 different events.
1. A Predator building a position where an offer can be made to Shareholders, usually with the BOD's blessing. Such an offer would be made at an attractive price and calculated above the closing price on a given date. Dependant on various factors in particular the level of offer, the SP will move towards even above the Offer price.
In CLNR case whether or not a position is being built, Michael Spencer has acquired a large tranche of shares at a price agreed privately with Algy Cluff. The 2 partys agreed the Deal on 8th February, the same day that the SHELL deal was announced. The lowest buying price of shares on the 8th was 3.76p, the deal was struck at 3.5p to be completed on 15th February, conditional on the Shares ( Algy's Option buy), being admitted to AIM on that day.
Clearly MS did not pay a premium indeed received a discount.
MM's would be aware a position was/is being built and move the SP according to any order and available free shares. How MM's operate in such circumstances is a whole new debate.
2. A Placing, which could involve existing Shareholders, is a Fund raising exercise. Shareholders approval is normally required. There have been situations where the Funding requirement has been advised to PI's as a fete accompli. In my experience this only happens where a handful of major shareholders act in concert.
A Placing could be Straight Funding from an Institution only in exchange for Shares ( dilution to existing PI's). It could and usually does, embrace an Offer to existing holders on a pro rata basis.
Even though Cluff is collaborating with SHELL, eventually, assuming CLNR ownership has not changed, significant funds will be required.
There are a variety outcomes, some already voiced on this forum and others still to come forward, which will ultimately reward patient Holders.
AIMO