Talks positive30 Mar 2022 21:43
As much progress as you could possibly hope for in two days.
Re US/UK/EU getting involved, Lavrov said ahead of the talks they were no longer trusted over many years of duplicity and hence it would only deal with partners such as Turkey. So indeed, we see the usual humpty dumpties that wanted nothing more than for this war to perpetuate jumping up and down, 1000s of miles away like prize 1 plebs. Trouble is, Biden, BJ and the rest of fragglerock are left sitting at home by the 'pump more weapons / sanctions / inflation / hot air machine'. I won't be the only one thinking, if Biden's crew had stayed out of Mr Zs ear and this so-called "shuttle diplomacy" (which Lavrov also said he'd had enough of) had been called out for the farce it was, whatever is agreed in the settlement could easily have been done without a bullet being fired or half the country being destroyed. Absolute madness.
De-escalation is happening. The word 'compromise' used, even 'optimistic'. Ignore the nutters, they just need attention and feel important. Like Trump said, Biden doesn't even know where he is - there's now 3 gaffs his team has had to row back on in as many days. He's sprinting ahead of BJ. Polish PM's out stating the Russians are simply re-positioning for another assault - of course his efforts to spark WWIII aren't going to plan.
For the stock tomorrow, I saw an incredible amount of volume that moved through the 3.5 - high 4s. It took out sellers with an iron fist and even captured a few shorters for good measure who still think the war needs to end and sanctions lifted before POG can sell its gold and make loan payments. Alas, a ceasefire is most needed but not for or because of POG. A ceasefire, settlement and withdrawal will no doubt be an equally important accelerant to the share price however. I maintain there's a more powerful, determined buyer or two taking the opportunity to accumulate for its own M&A related agenda - not ideal for POG management who are acutely aware of the threat but unlikely to know for sure until they see the updated share register data.
End of the day, you only get involved in a stock like POG if you are made of tougher stuff. Bonds and mega caps are for another breed of investor.