RE: Buy17 May 2023 10:53
…. We can see that they have sold as there are still another 4 bond holders, with only an additional 3 bonds, from a total of 82 available. The question is why, and it could be that they have hedged to then cover the voting. That they perhaps need the proposed consolidation. It’s going to be easier to rinse at £5.25 than the current 5.25p as will possibly be inclusive of fresh blood buying from the US.
Then worth looking at the other metrics and North of us, we have a resistance line slightly above 6.75p. This is primarily from the warrants, with 138M warrants (31% dilution so v.significant) at 6.75p each, plus say 10% profit then puts 7.425p as a pivot point. So could be a 40% profit from today’s buying price.
To the South of us and how long is a piece of string ? The average purchase price on each bond, is c.5.3p. Each bond security of $200,000 only cost the holder between $156,000 (78%) & $160,000 (80%) which then gives an average close to 5.3p but to then assume that this is the lowest the bond-holder will accept is rather foolish. They are now currently picking up c.$140,000 in fees. They then only need to make c.$20,000 from selling a bond to walk out relatively unscathed. That then suggests that with the current conversion rate $0.0817 / 6.75p that they could possibly go as low as $0.00817 / 0.675p hence why I suspect the need for again more consolidation.
Assuming that the main player is still onboard, then the 40% target prior to the warrants kicking in, is not too shabby… for any prospective fresh blood.