RE: STmicroelectronics12 Jul 2020 08:45
Good morning Nige. You have said before that I have a pessimistic outlook but I don't think that an accurate assessment of my position. I have a large holding here, although not quite in the horn of league. I consider my position realistic, whilst also remaining optimistic NANO still has some time to turn things round.
There is little doubt that IR sensors are set to become much more commonplace and NANO can and should be able to do good business in a growing market, so it's future should be assured in some shape or form. However, NANO is close to hibernation and either needs to generate new income streams now, or raise cash well ahead of Q2020 to keep the status quo.
There is absolutely no certainty that Samsung will settle or buy NANO. There has been sample opportunity for them to do so already any they have chosen not to. It will cost Samsung a fortune only if NANO has TP legal funding (I believe it is available) and wins the case on a profit settlement basis. Settlement on the license value would be much more modest but still big numbers - could be around £200 to £400m.
In my view Samsung will not settle for as long as there is an outside chance that NANO is unable or unwilling to litigate or goes under, at which point it would make a decision offer for the IP it has alleged!y stolen. I don't see that happening because LO has remained committed and sees value (primarily for itself) but that does not mean our holdings as PI are safe. We have been massively diluted in the past 10 years and if new income is not delivered in the next 2-3 months, further dilution will be both inevitable and large. Although we all hope for the best it makes sense to keep these very real risks in mind, so I do try to present what I believe is a balanced view for others to consider and for their own opinion and look for the same in the comments of others.