Xcd oip17 Nov 2020 18:15
XCD have 3 targets totalling 1.6bn of which 2 are around roughly 6,000ft the other one is around 10,000ft with just over 570mmb oip
Avg world recovery rate is between 20% - 40% or 30% mean, Alaska potentially based on prudhoe bay recovery of 50% using latest EOR Enhanced oil recovery technology. You can combine this 50% with the world mean of 30% to give Another average mean figure potentially a 40% recovery. In my opinion I believe the joint-venture will go 50-50, with the other party stumping up the cost for the well.
of course the current cash rise has to factor in 88 energy part of the cost if it runs over budget.
1bn oip with a RF of 40% leaves 400mmb of which 200mmb goes to 88e.
Not sure what the Break even cost for conventional oil is, I would give a conservative guesstimate between $20 and $30 For conventional, I mean average of $25. Brent being $43 -$25 equals $18 profit, times this by 200mmb =$3.6bn
dived by 10.569bn shares leaves the share price in $ then convert into £ using 1.32 to give SP for AIM listing..
If factoring in a buyout price then I would use the Armstrong/oil search deal of $3 a barrel way back when the price of oil was at its lowest roughly around this price.So $3 times 200 million equals $600,000,000 not saying we would get that price per barrel but food for thought
Dazzle