RE: 2022 results5 Jul 2023 21:36
Oogle, can you point to me where you got this £10m from? I can see this from FY results:
Cash in the business at year end December £4.5m (2021: £11.8m). Could this be lower now?
I work in this type of business, do you realise the costs associated with keeping all of the employees, regardless of component shortages? Google says there are 600 employees (seems high to me) but you get the idea. In my own line of work, we have not had component shortage issues for a long time. I think the SW article is just highlighting that the business is rather poor, and not generating anywhere near enough cash.
Revenue 18M
Cost of sales 9M
Admin 9M
Left with ? Not much.
Tangible assets
PPE 2.6M
Cash 4.5M
Inventory (which is not selling) 10M (could this get written down?)
Basically £12m of assets, on a company that is likely burning cash. I can see where SW got their valuation from.
Regards earnings, it looks flat to me from investors chronical research portal, though they had a good year in 2019, however this is a mute point for me, I am only interested in what has happened since Miles took over, and it has declined:
· EBITDA at £2.1m (2021 restated: £4.9m)
I don't blame the CEO entirely for this, I do remember the tough times we had, but I just think there are other problems here that we don't know about. I am not sure about Miles, I think this is his first PLC appointment, and I don't think he understands markets or AIM. The company is especially poor at IR. I regularly check in on the company on linked in and the like, it looks a great company but it isn't making any money, in the defence business while there is a war on. FWIW, I hold Chemring, and this has pulled through all of the issues here, but price has not really re-rated yet, They are far more diversified as well. I might be tempted here, more that it gets bought out by PE. I think they have had long enough to turn this round and they seem unable to. Is it the core products? Look at this line form the post achievements, Successfully winning the first Systems win in excess of £1 million in value since the launch of the revised business strategy. Its taken nearly 2 years to win a 1M order. WTF.
My genuine worry now is they hit cashflow issues. Not sure what they would do in this case. £40M mcap, maybe at £30 it gets a bite from PE? Thoughts?