RE: Performance YTD: dead last in Canada15 Jul 2023 20:02
Firstly, it is not a CAD $75 loan facility, they HAD to negotiate a $100M facility as they already had $22M of debt in the form of loan notes that matured in May. "The Facility has a three-year term, with interest payable monthly at 9.521% per annum," Jeeeesus. They have done a clever trick of drawing $75, to pay off the loan notes, leaving $25 undrawn. This can be drawn when the asset is bought as it will need to be surely. We will actually be lucky if that is the only extra debt from the new asset purchase.
I said previously that they should have paid the loan note off, or at least put the money aside for when it matured. That loan note had a 4 year term, which also incurred interest each year, has in reality cost more than $22M. Instead of paying this down, or preparing for it, they dished out most of their money to the market, but that has not helped the share price. Now O&G prices are more 'normal' I3 is not the cash machine many thought it was. By not preparing for the loan, they had to take finance on poorer terms (see interest rate above), which results in more debt, which ultimately resulted in the lender imposing the dividend affordability check. I mean it looks a bit poor when you have to borrow money to repay an existing debt that you had 4 years to sort out, including a golden period of O&G prices. I really think in that time the balance sheet should have strengthened, especially in the last 2 years, but I3E now have more debt than they did at the beginning of that period - fact. I think that is why institutions have been selling since 30p. As for the new borrowing facility, the asset acquisition makes a good cover up for the ineptitude I have highlighted above. Im sure they will spend it fairly soon, and yes hopefully put the $75M to work. But as I have said before, I can not see them finding something at an amazing price this time when oil assets are in demand. Also bear in mind that any purchase is costing 10% interest on $100M per anum, so this will eat in to profits.
I3 have the fortunate position of looking like master deal makers, when in reality they just got very lucky that prices spiked off the back of a war. Majid makes a tiny £25k purchase, which doesn't show much confidence to me, and the CFO has not bought any, I am wondering why this is. I remember telling you in January I3E was not a growth share, when you also shouted me down. You are welcome to your opinion, but lets just state for the record that it has been wrong over the last 12 months. I3E is probably fairly valued given everything I write, including the $100M of debt at 9%, and the poor mix of assets (Gas). I wont be replying, so please do not put any more words in my mouth.