RE: Next few months27 Jul 2023 16:58
rather pertinent to be replying to my post below, but today we had safestyle tu. tough times for safe style, share price dropped 49%, see quote:
"the combination of inflation, which has continued to remain higher than economist forecasters expected, and consequential higher interest rates, have put even greater pressure on our customers' disposable incomes, weakened consumer confidence and increased the cost of providing our market leading finance products. that being said, following the £1.4m investment in the group's q1 tv campaign, brand awareness has continued to grow and our market share has increased by 30bps to 8.0% (3.9% growth) in h1.
h1 industry data from fensa shows that the market for installations is c.8% lower year on year, with q2 representing a declining trend at c.12% lower. alongside the reduction in installations in the market, the average number of frames per installation has also declined.
h1 order intake (value) was 6.4% lower than the prior year and our h1 order book closed 22% lower than an unusually strong h1 22 comparator."
as an epwin holder i was concerned by this update today, but having investigated epwn seemed to be faring much better. epwin are far more diversified, and importantly not directly reliant on installations, or finance deals.
i would suggest reading both companies trading updates from may side by side, epwin sounds far more bullish, revenue ahead etc. so it got me thinking, epwn could buy sfe from its debt headroom, eliminating a major competitor. i think that would be pretty cool if that happened, and a good boost for the epwin shares. safestyle market cap is currently 13m, main holders are funds so little objection i would think. safestyle running low on cash. i dont know what the book looks like for safestyle, or how a to would practically work. there is always a chance it goes bust (not wishing that on anybody), but of co**** a boost for epwin again if it were to happen.
safe style last fy report march 23:
£4.5m of the group's £7.5m borrowing facility, being that of the term loan, remained drawn at the year end with the £3.0m revolving credit facility undrawn.
safestyle recent tu:
group expects to report an underlying loss before taxation for h1 2023 of c.£(6.0)m.
the impact of the h1 financial performance, alongside a one-off change in timing of payments to our new profile supplier, has resulted in net cash at 2 july 2023 of c.£0.9m.