RE: A Reality Check11 Sep 2018 15:44
BigBiteNow,
Whilst I agree in principle with what you have written here, the market will inevitably focus on the strike currently as the information in the public domain suggests that we are not producing. As such, even if we have stock in inventory (given the Vanadium market this must be limited at best), there will be a point in time when we are missing (opportunity) revenue. As you point out (provided the strike is limited in time and the target is still reached) then the rise in FeV price and falling Rand will result in an increase in overall anticipated revenues for the year. But at the moment we do not know when the strike will end (although end it certainly will) and this is surely front of mind for many investors.
Of course, if you believe that the strike will last at most a week or two, then the fall here has been considerably overdone and this could be considered a buying point. If the concern is that it will last longer then it is understandable if people wait until confirmation that it has been resolved.