RE: Kestrel26 Nov 2024 23:00
Markets usually overreact both ways. But sentiment also plays a part. Professional or private investors, usually private. Pros. live off the amateur reactions. TIG was an Nvidia of the clickbait world. News leaked on the Froday before results and those in the know sold. On the Monday, the sentiment spread further. Now we are seeing at least one seller, easily offset by the huge buyback, but the market makers in AIM like to oversuppress a share under pressure so that they can panic retailers and buy cheap. Oldest trick since 1920’s US depression. Lots of other tricks going on, and we probably don’t know the full reasonings for the overreaction,. And markets are also often irrational. Don’t believe the “ each buy has a sell and vice versa” market philosophy.market . It’s like seeing complex correlation by playing with an Abacus. Markets are multi-variable and we don’t usually see all of them, especially what goes on behind closed doors. The Friday sell -off should be investigated by the FCA. Blatant market abuse. FCA toothless.
And you don’t have to agree with all or any of what I say. But I do. It’s not just funds or p/i’s selling. The buyback counters that logistically. There are agendas here and they want the price as low as possible. Perhaps Kestrel at 27% want their 30% very cheaply and quickly. They would have to buy the company at the highest paid by them in a year, or perhaps there are other things they could do. Maybe there are all sorts of other beneficiaries of a low price, even the buyback. Ultimately this is a typical AIM supraoverreaction. TIG was this price during the first Lockdown. AIM is not an intelligent index. Seen this happen so so many times. And have suffered accordingly as did not see the irrational coming. Nor the corrupt.
Ignore this post at your will.