Decarbonisation thematic - The big Boys22 Oct 2021 08:43
Thoughts on impact of major miners with O&g and coal exposure going “green”
Interesting factoids, BHP new CEO Mike Henry has stated intent to decarbonise BHP production profile. To date BHP production of coal and O&G accounts for 13% and 21% respectively by revenue that’s a 34% hole in their revenue to fill as they switch off. 40% is iron ore and 27% “the others” of which copper accounts for 24% and nickel 3%. BHPs easiest route to fill the 34% revenue drop would be by boosting an existing stream in a metal they already produce as a key item in their portfolio in a thematic indicating an impending supply deficit moving forward. Do we know anyone with a 30 yr mine life of copper resource knocking about?…
The above may read very rampy and that’s not my intent, I simply observe that any of the majors actively shedding O&g and/or coal producing assets or projects will need to fill that gap. BHP is one giant example , AA is another, Glencore while not shedding the assets have gone into “harvest” mode in terms of running down existing assets.
This points strongly imo towards m&a on large long life predictable assets particularly if it’s in a large volume metal market that a major has a foothold in already.
It really is time for diamond hands here I feel