RE: BTC Mempool25 Feb 2025 10:17
With BTC it seems that only Saylor is buying just now. Until that changes I don't really know what happens.
BTC mining we know is flawed, mostly due to the halving, but also due to machine efficiency continuing to get better - 6 JT machines coming in the next couple of years - more than 2x more efficient than the current crop, which effectively means that all current hash has a 2 year expiry before it has to be replaced. However the money to be made in miners is in the bull cycle - but we've been in the bull cycle for a while now and since the start of 2024 they just keep going down.
With GRL, it just seems it has a better path forward, a similar risk/reward profile (arguably higher reward potential - but plenty of risks also). But it doesn't have the halving issue, or the machines aren't all getting 2x better in 2 years, and once they have a mine there's no competition for it. I can see it going up without a major sentiment change.
I'd also point out that SPX and NDX were at ATH's last week, and DXY has retreated, so I think market conditions are better than you say. But Gold ascending steadily. Can't believe I'm saying all these words!! Are gold miners the new BTC miners?
I also still think a general market crash will come - but think it needs a parabolic run first - and I continue to wait (im)patiently.