RE: Capex9 Aug 2025 19:30
I suspect those LTH's who've sold are simply looking at their timescales and been shaken by recent events. In some respects it may mean nothing to them that we are on a necessary path that involves greater expenditure over the next 18 months or so. I feel sorry for them as others have said. I don't regard their posting (unlike some regular agitators who demean anything and anybody) as derogatory. I can see myself walking in their shoes if I were more strapped for cash. Hardly anyone felt we would be back down to 12 in old money when most were ancipatong 20+ after ASX (or fantasists proposing even more). On that basis it feels like a 50% drop rather than 30% and so I can understand those who fought hard to get in profit averaging down year after year, being spooked by events. They were not unfit to take the risk, they bought in to a good company. They have chosen to opt out because the risk feels greater than it did.
I hope for strong Telfer results boosted by drills elsewhere. I do get the positives in Bamps post and all that SD is attempting to do. The workforce retention and buy-in point is not to be dismissed. Every ounce counts. My concern timescale-wise is partly the path to production at Havieron. Because I didn't walk away at the new 3.50 believing more was on the horizon, I'm staying put for the Hav FS. My concern is if anything occurs that puts Hav back to beyond '28, or if there is a major setback at Telfer this becomes a 10 year project and I wasn't/can't be here for that. My risk - thankfully mostly derisked apart from this blip, but some are finding the risk/reward balance too acute at this stage of their lives even though we could be sitting pretty again in 3 months. That's OK. Thanks to them for being stalwart investors over 7 or so years. They helped us up the path. I hope they get their rewards elsewhere, or here if they left some in or buy back. I'm a gloomy sod at times but what I mean is I understand the reaction of some and the honesty that has come with it so I don't believe they should be shut down. There is still the possibility of mid-term reward I believe, but it is a tightrope.