Some facts.......24 Feb 2022 11:36
Among the 100+ posts this morning , not all of which I've read , I haven't seen anybody attempt to understand why RR is sharply down today (and yes I have noticed there is a war on but RR is down 17% at the time of writing while FTSE is down 3%).
So here is an explanation based on the results published, not guesswork (well some but I submit that it's informed guesswork)
So, positive news is that cost savings of £1.3 bill have been realised, disposals of ~£2bill are nearly complete and RR say they are cash flow positive though the evidence for that is unclear from these figs, and they were far from cash flow positive over the year. Finally, Warren East is leaving, which may be the best piece of positive news!
OK so why the very sharp fall?
Well, revenue is down, even when measured against a very bad year in '20, civil aerospace (which represents over half of the co.) is down below last year and is still struggling, as I have suggested a while ago this was foreshadowed in recent Heathrow numbers and today's news is not going to encourage long- haul civil aviation.
The rise in profits is entirely due to cost-cutting and RR would I think to admit that there can be little if any fat remaining to cut. Debt is up to £3.5 bill and reducing that is going to be difficult , the only avenue now is profit from the business and that demands customers paying for new aircraft, and using them , though Defence might prosper that revenue is probably at least a year or two away.
Having said all that, I have today added, as oft-repeated, I am patient and look for modest gains and happy to wait for the eventual recovery , tho' that may not be for a couple of years.