Correlation Still Intact?12 Oct 2021 20:20
As I mentioned today, the 'correlation' between BTC and ARB is still intact.
But how can that be?
Forget the last few weeks, because apart from a few spurts, few of the miners have done well. RIOT has done terribly. I was really surprised though when I looked at the latest composition of the 'Melanion Bitcoin Exposure Index' which is going to be used by the French bitcoin tracking fund (assuming they get their act together and launch it - Invesco are already live). To my utter surprise, ARB is now the largest part of that index, ahead of all other miners @8.7%.
Check it out for yourself: https://www.melanion.com/melanion-index
What does that mean? It means that if/when Melanion go live with their fund, they'll be buying ARB shares mechanically, just like Invesco have already started doing.
You can easily calculate the historical correlation yourself in a spreadsheet using the CSV data downloaded from Yahoo for BTC and each of the miners. It's unstable and isn't that useful, but for the long-term (at least a month) ARB is still highly correlated with BTC.
Why hasn't ARB risen? I have no frikkin idea..................... tell me if you work it out.