RE: Timeline4 Jul 2025 07:28
Stew,
Thanks for the thoughtful reply, really appreciated.
You’re absolutely right to bring up the role of lenders, and I agree they are a critical but often under-discussed part of this. If Sidara has indeed engaged in refinancing or offered guarantees behind the scenes, that certainly gives them leverage and makes it harder for a rival bidder to step in cold. But that dynamic also cuts both ways, if Wood’s long-term viability is genuinely dependent on Sidara-linked refinancing, that should be made transparent to shareholders before any vote. Otherwise, it risks becoming a self-fulfilling mechanism that limits choice.
On the point about institutions already being aware of the audit findings — fair point, and no doubt some of the major holders have been privately briefed to some extent. But even then, fiduciary duty demands public disclosure. No major institution can formally vote or back a bid of this scale without published, audited numbers that they can justify to their clients and regulators. That’s just how stewardship and compliance work — particularly in a climate where the FCA is already involved.
I also hear you on the idea that rival bidders don’t necessarily have to wait for the accounts, but in practice, they will. Why? Because no strategic or PE buyer is going to risk launching a bid based on unpublished or opaque financials — especially with a suspended stock and ongoing investigations. Due diligence access can be granted, yes, but full confidence only comes when the numbers are public and the noise dies down. That’s why August remains the pivotal window. If the accounts show value, it’s game on and 35p may not hold. If they don’t, then 35p could well be the best deal available.
As for the board — I’m not necessarily accusing them of anything nefarious. But there’s no question they’ve boxed themselves in. The optics are poor: suspended shares, multiple PUSU extensions, zero shareholder engagement, and now an FCA investigation. Whether by design or circumstance, it has created an environment of opacity and mistrust — and I’d argue that’s what’s fueling the “conspiracy talk,” more than any forum drama.
To your final point, I still believe “going it alone” is viable — but only if the accounts land well and there’s a pathway to refinance independently, possibly with strategic asset sales or joint ventures. If not, yes, a deal is likely. But even then, 35p is not locked — and that’s where the debate should stay focused.
Appreciate your input, very constructive. Let’s see how it all unfolds in the next 4-6 weeks.