RE: RKH ICSID Award - Chance of Success22 Mar 2023 16:56
I think the stats are even worst than that.
I am only going by DEM post earlier I am assuming that is correct.
"Out of 355 ICSID Awards up to 2021, 156 (44%) are/were subject to Annulment proceedings.
Of those 156 cases, 121 are completed and the remainder pending.
Of the 121 completed cases, 89 decisions were rendered by the ad hoc committee and 32 proceedings were discontinued (ie claimants on ‘fishing’ expeditions).
Of the 89 cases where a decision was rendered, ad hoc committees upheld the underlying award on 70 occasions. Nineteen awards were annulled in part or in full."
So really its 121 cases completed and there were 89 decisions made of which 19 were successful.
Which in my book makes us have a 74% chance of full success or 26% of full or part annuled.