RE: Tulu Kapi Gold Project Financing Status16 Jan 2026 15:57
Any debt package for any purchase can fall through. So anyone playing that card with Kefi will always be able to argue, however weak a stance it may be.
But binding agreements are in place. So as long as the conditions precedent are all met and the economics of the project remain positive, then the debt package will be completed, and the project will progress through construction. This is why I pointed out the revised break-even cost with all equity included. At $1,946/oz, it is a long way below the current gold price, and future forecasts call for at least $3,000/oz going forward. That makes this project very bankable and gives the lenders no reason to walk away.
To kick things off, the remaining two equity packages need to close, but as I explained earlier, there is no real reason for them not to because they are subordinate to the senior lender's debt and the project economics can afford their terms.
It is natural to want to look for problems and be nervous until the Is are dotted, etc. Unfortunately, it is also normal for persons to be nefarious and throw around doubt, hoping some sticks, especially whilst an overhang is clearing. But given the fact that the overall market isn't stupid, all these details will not be lost in translation, which is why I think clearing the overhang leads to sustained buying, which will be supported by each progress update. Be they debt sign-offs or progress on the ground. I would think earthworks kicking off will really wake people up because it signals true mine construction.