RE: Good article28 Dec 2021 17:13
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1113834/cumulative-coronavirus-deaths-in-the-nordics/
However these numbers are not normalised for the populations of the countries.
If Sweden has 10.5m, Norway 5.3m and Finland 5.5m, deaths Sweden 15.1k, Norway 1.2k and Finland 1.4k, then the Death distribution is Sweden 85.3%, Norway 6.7% and Finland 7.9% (not rounded) against a population distribution of Sweden 49.3%, Norway 24.9% and Finland 25.8%. So sweden has roughly twice the population of both Norway and Finland, so a higher death rate would be expected. Expected deaths would be Sweden, 8.7k, Norway 4.4k and Finland 4.6k. Sweden is therefore above the normalised expected mean, and both Norway and Finland under.
However, unless these stats are compared to all other countries, and weighted with what restrictions had been put in place and over what time period and when against the population infection rate {where in the spike and how long), it is a bit of weak argument to say Sweden's policy was better or worse. Because then you have to compare that against lives damaged/lost due to economic damage and loss of resources, i.e cancer screening and treatment. It looks like Sweden carried a higher mortality rate with covid. But those saved elsewhere, who were they? 95 year olds? We have to also look at the demographic of those lost in Sweden and ask whether they brutal question as to whether they were on their last legs anyway and covid merley shuffled things along a bit quicker than would otherwise be the case. One of the questions that will have to be answered post covid is, next time would it be better to let the virus rip or take on the significant economic pain to save those who's time was extremely limited anyway?
Occam's razor!
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