RE: RNS25 Feb 2022 08:31
"A significant quarterly operating loss is expected for quarter 1, 2022"
Put the Q1 interim date in your diary for a dump just before and buy back a week later!
"the Group had derivative contracts for which there was no corresponding purchase of jet fuel, leading to discontinuance of hedge accounting for these derivatives, with a mark-to-market loss of €1,781 million recognised as an exceptional charge in the Income statement.
1.7bn loss hedging fuel. WTF! Heads must role tat is a major error.
"Gross debt increased by €3,931 million"...." Cash increased by €2,026 million, leading to net debt €1,905 million higher at €11,667 million."
"The debt actions above resulted in total 'Proceeds from borrowings' for the year of €4,817 million."
"• The Group has assumed that the committed and undrawn general facilities of €2.9 billion will not be drawn over the going concern period. The availability of certain of these facilities reduces over time, with €2.7 billion being available to the Group at the end of the going concern period;
• The Group has assumed that of the committed and undrawn aircraft specific facilities of €1.1 billion, €0.9 billion would be available to be drawn over the going concern period if required, but is not expected to be drawn;"
"Having reviewed the Base Case, Downside Case, Downside Lockdown Case and additional sensitivities, the Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Group has sufficient liquidity to continue in operational existence over the going concern period and hence continue to adopt the going concern basis in preparing the consolidated financial statements for the year to December 31, 2021."
Still have cash in bank and credit to draw down on. However, what will major shareholders want? Draw more credit to get through Q1, or fund Q1 raising money from markets? There is a black hole warning although there are stress tests. There is no explicit reference to raising money which can be good but also bad as not ruled out. Raising new money is now a lower probability, perhaps 10% depending on what the board decides for funding the debt. Revenue is not going to cover Q1.