RE: Share sale17 Feb 2021 17:40
Crumbs,
Re. your 16.06 - not quite right. This is what I actually posted about HCTs back in July and remembering how little we knew about the virus back then, seems fair enough:-
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RE: Human challenge 'volunteers'16 Jul 2020 19:19
jsand,
I don't think there'll be a shortage of volunteers for challenge trials - over 300,000 people have already registered with 1DaySooner but they may still be a while off, here's just some of the issues:-
1) We still don't know enough to risk injecting live virus into healthy people.
2) To make it safer, the suggestion is to use a weakened form of the virus. If that's the case, how valuable will the results be? How can you be sure that the vaccine being tested would still offer protection against a more potent viral load?
3) Most likely only young adults would be allowed to take part, but that won't tell you how the vaccine performs in those who really need it ie. the elderly and vulnerable.
4) You'll still need to test any vaccine in tens of thousands of patients for safety.
So challenge trials wont replace phase III trials but they could give earlier indications of efficacy and shorten the timelines to approval. Another huge benefit would be the ability to identify vaccines that don't work at an earlier stage thereby allowing resources and funding to be redirected to those that do.
It's possible, some think even probable that they will come and there seems to be a growing body of experts pushing hard for them to start. Anything that can safely speed up the development process and reduce overall costs has to be a good thing but not sure whether we're there just yet.