RE: Physical Gold Or Shanta Gold Shares ...9 Nov 2020 20:28
I don't think it's early. A lot of the major vaccine programmes were expecting data as early as October if everything went well. Not everything did of course. With so many programmes needing so many volunteers enrollment wasn't always easy and two of them were suspended on safety concerns. It does feel like a surprise Pfizer has announceable data now but it's not really outside the expected timescales.
The 90% success rate is high against my expectations at least. Doctors and scientists have been arguing over whether a vaccine would be worth using if it was 40, 50, 60% effective. 90% seems terrific. It'll take ages to manufacture and distribute the required doses. I'm sure more stimulus will be needed. One other thing to bear in mind here though is that a lot of the vaccines in development are aiming for the same end point - protien and t-cell immune response. Several have said that they get that so it's highly likley they'll also report high efficacy and we might rapidly have hundreds of millions of doses on hand. Things could move pretty fast from here.