RE: Oily October12 Oct 2019 10:13
I enjoyed reading the news from Ukog yesterday explaining the process of drilling their well. A 12" dia hole to about 2000' has been cased and have taken a 60' long core of 8" dia for analysis, the first of a planned 3. Their independent advisors have informed them that the OWC ( oil water contact) is another 60' lower, so a fourth core will be taken. The excitement there is about more oil reserves.
The cores have been taken to finalise the position of the horizontal side track entry which will extend a further 3000'.
The share price has hardly moved with all this news, they have a dreaded YA loan fascility and every chance they've got their selling shares keeping a lid on the price.
Their recoverable reserves on that well are about 14m and with the horizontal well hoping for 3000 bopd
Saffron recoverable reserves are about 11m but the strata is sand/sandstone I'm not sure if a horizontal well can be achieved
Working with the finances Cerp have a vertical well is the cheapest, quickest option.
Clove is only a shallow vertical well so will be cheaper but the P50 reserves are only 170,000 barrels so the production will be small. A quick easy drill in known production sands.
In my opinion this is going to be a slow process of building up assets and production using our own cash, so some borrowings are probably the way forward but not YA
A YA loan is a death spiral for the sp and I am sure that won't happen with Cerp. We all know what happened when NR used it.