Member Info for bald_eagle

Just looking over past posts. One time poster MOSDAHOE commented on 27th Feb 2020 when price was £25.21:

"I was going in at £25, but changed my mind. I have feeling that the share price heading south to 6 mark."

I wonder is he/she could tell me what the lottery numbers will be this week!!

"The company cannot forecast what will happen, or when."
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Sir Walter, errr, yes they can!!
The management have to assume that their business is dormant until a vaccine for CV becomes available. That's a gievn...it should be written in stone above the boardroom table. ANything else is wishful thinking.
So cut costs....screw the money lenders & high fananciers for all you can ..BUT look after the little people as much as youy can....even if you have to forgoe your bonus for the next 5 years to pay them a subsistence wage. Next year, 12 months, 15 months, even 18 months a vaccine will be ready and 'life' will get back to normal. Although normal is pretty fcuked up IMO.

FrankM, thank you for a sensible response. So in your opinion do you think FUM will need to know the mode of action for how MED3000 to get the patent. The other MED formulations involved in creating a 'formulation' to optimise the transfer of GTN through the skin barrier. But MED3000 may not involve this process and instead rely on another mechanism (some sort of cooling, heating nerve stimulation has been suggested I believe). So would the new patent possibly give added IP over a formulation?

I suppose the MED3000 patent application could stand or fall on whether FUM can find a genuine unique sscientific reason why MED3000 (placebo derived) works so effectively. A regulator might suggest it's because it's massaged onto a very sensitive region and FUM will have to prove otherwise IMO.

For FUM to say that Dermasys is patented is a little misleading IMO. All the previous patents (or most) are irrelevant now. The real truth is that Dermasys is probably patent pending and the future for FUM & Dermasys relates to the MED3000 patent application.

I expect Futura will have asked Professor Ralph to investigate the MED3000 mode of action...or somebody suitably prestigious. I hope the research doesn't cost too much.

So just a pointless rant with no relevance to Carnival. Understood!!

MatW, last attempt.....what has that got to do with CCL?

MatW, I'm not sure what point you are trying to make. I said that the number of actual cases is going to be many times (possibly 20 or more) the number of recorded positive cases tested. What are you trying to say and what relevance is it to CCL?

MatW, the problem is that it's highly infectious. The population doesn't have ANY immunity against it. A lot of people will get sick in a very short period of time (millions), if even a small % needs hospitalisation then there is a danger that the NHS will get overwhelmed...then people will needlessly die. It really is as simple as that. Flatten the peak, reduce peak demand on the NHS, so that the sick can be treated...rather than left to die due to lack of equipment or staff.

So flatten the curve using whatever means possible. Ideally we would have prepared like Taiwan (who obviously knew it was coming). But alas we were busy fighting over Brexit & austerity.

MatW, you confuse me. One minute you're saying that CoronaVirus is highly infectious, the next you're saying 'let's all go on a cruise together'. Seems a little disjointed to me.

The elderly suffer the worst consequences of the virus and they also seem to like going on cruises. Seems a little disjointed to me.

There was a recent academic paper (Prof Gupta, Oxford Univ) that suggested that up to 50% of the UK population may have already been infected & recovered. It has been widely discredited...presumably for using false or inaccurate assumptions.

We have to believe the concensus of scientific opinion (UK government SAIG)....CSO Patrick Vallance suggeted on 12th March that estimated number of actual cases was 10-20 times tested cases. Although the testing regimen has changed somewhat since then this would imply that there are up to 700,000 actual cases in UK (20 x 33,718 = 674,000).

I've been thinking – always a dangerous thing to do – about patents, and there are some things I don't understand.
What I think I know:
- Currently it is the Dermasys formulations that are patented....Dermasys itself is trademarked.
- Presumably all the MED patents relating to GTN (the active ingredient) are now worthless (unless another use can be found for them...seems unlikely)
- Presumably a lot of the patents relating to CSD500 are also probably worthless (although the knowhow is valuable)
What I don't know:
Here's where it gets tricky. Dermasys relied upon evaporation to create a superconcentrated film of active ingredient on the surface of the skin and this would force the active compund through the skin barrier. But now in MED3000 (placedo derived) there is no obvious active ingredient....so what are they patenting? Presumably if MED3000 has some unique mode of action they will need to know what that is BEFORE they apply for a patent. Perhaps they do and for obvious commercial reasons they are keeping this mode of action secret until the patent is secured. But I don't know, I suspect none of us know.

So if anyone knows how the patent system works...what is needed to get a patent, then please tell the group. It is important to know what we are invested in.

Please note, that I have previously tried to contact Futura about patents (others have tried too I believe) but they seem reluctant to answer, citing some claptrap about 'market sensitive' information. ALthough Mr Barder in the past has been very helpful in explaining how Dermasys is trademarked and the actual formulations are patented. Not now apparently!

MatW, you are incorrect in so many respects it's almost scary!!

Good luck anyway.

MatW, Covid19 is a different virus to h1n1. The 'experts' have said that a vaccine won't be available for at least 12 months. To think that the virus will disappear before we have the vaccination is risky IMO.

WolfieB, I agree. The accuracy and reliability of the tests is a big unknown at the moment.

UNless people have some sort of immunity...either through having recovered from CV or through a vaccination then they would be stupid to go on a cruise IMO. I doubt any insurance company would accept the risk and I would hope governments would advise them against it. Who has to pick up the bill when cruisers have to be repatriated?..HMG of course.

The cruise industry needs to mothball ALL ships until a vaccine is available...and reduce costs aggressively. I do hope the management(s) realise that.

"if a company tests you with cheap $1 test which reads if you have this virus within 10 minutes before a cruise."
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MatW, even if you were tested negative you still might not be able to get insurance. Insurance companies wont want to accept the risk unless the premiums are massive, maybe not even then, they might just have a clause the excludes people who catch the virus. Personally I think the cruise industry will have to go into hybernation until a vaccine becomes available.

So a June 2020 cruise looks highly doubtful IMO. June 2021 hopefully!!

Raleigh, you might be lucky getting your July flight to USA cancelled BUT I suspect Trump will want things to get back to some sort of normality well before the November election (maybe that is questionable now!!). So Trump will be putting maximum pressure on people to get the economy going. Although he may still be wary of opening the borders too early. Depends on how soon America can get a grip on things....at the moment they are playing catch up....led by a buffoon who just wants to blame other people for his own incompetence (IMO).

MatW, I take it you haven't heard of a 'full stop' or a 'comma'. They would make your post much more decipherable IMO.

Apart from that - and if I understand your question(?) - it would be a brave person (of 'almost' any age) who goes on a cruise in June (this year) unless they have previously had coronaVirus and 'possibly' have some immunity. Very brave IMO.

But next year when a vaccination is 'hopefully' available then you can cruise to your hearts content. Prices should be good....bargains galore probably.

Why cannot they have a vaccination when it becomes available next year?

Obviously there are some people who are intent on staying with the ship, no matter what icebergs, bad weather, hurricanes or reefs befall the good ship Futura. I genuinely wish you luck. But I also feel you are joining a crew that may not have the best intentions. I hope I am wrong.

Evidence for the prosecution (some of which may be speculative):
- The original GTN version of MED was sold to us as having a rapid speed of onset....big pharma didn't believe the hype & refused to sign a deal.
- FUM wasted money on surveys trying to persuade big pharma to agree to a deal.
- The phase 3 trial failed and the GTN active ingredient was dropped....to be replaced by the placebo that was used in the trial.
- Futura management (but not professor Ralph) have concocted a theory about how the placebo works....yet to be scientifically verified.
- The language on patents has been 'tweaked' in December to say that Dermasys is patented....somebody has been playing games IMO. The formulations of Dermasys are certainly patented, the patent for the placebo version is pending. But whether Dermasys itself is patented is a debatable...trademarked YES...patented hmmmm!
- So the big question is "Can Futura & Mr 'the art of the deal' Barder negotiate a deal with a 'big' pharma company for MED3000. Answer: Possibly!!
BUT what is that deal?...Mr DonkeyKong LOL has suggested that a deal is signed subject to regulatory approval. Quite possible. But I doubt there would be any upfront payments....FUM would get paid when the product is approved. There certainly wouldn't be any payment for just 'talking' (sorry DonkeyKong).
- So ultimately we have a management who have consistently promised the world but failed to deliver anything. Even CSD500 has disappeared.

What is MED300....to me it is unfortunately the Emporers New clothes...all shiny & wonderful....but invisible. Sorry. But if I get my 13p per share I will say any old rubbish....I am a money *****.

Tombi, I've told you...I want the SP to go back to 13p so that I can bale.

The fact that I talk the truth about FUM as far as I can see it is neither here nor there. What I write about FUM isn't going to move the SP up or down one iota. Or do people really think that I'm that infuential.

But denying basic truths or potential dangers about a share is stupid. It's better to be informed than stick ones head in a bucket of sand and pretend that things are hunky dory. It's almost like there is a code of silence that gets shouted down whenever anyone points out the elephants in the room.

All I want is 13 little pence per share. I've been told that 20p, 50p, even 108p are imminent. But alas I'm still waiting.

SP is currently rising...come one you guys & gals....keep buying so that I can exit and you can be rid of me. Now that's a good incentive to invest...better than any webcast.

Kdonkey, shares in general. I suppose we have to see the current market as an opportunity (NOT Futura Medical necessarily...if at all). So glass half full, it allows one to average down and stick some 'cheap' shares in an ISA (in a few days)....assuming anybody has cash to put into an ISA.

Sometime next year we will have a vaccine and 'life' & the economy can get back to normal...although we may be tackling the consequences of a recession then (hopefully a short one). But I expect things will bounce back quickly.