RE: Interesting energy articles4 Apr 2024 11:14
Information overload there, much of it irrelevant to Block, however, considering the pertinent points, it demonstrates how well BLOE is positioned to benefit from current and future Georgian developments.
“Energy is one of the most important sectors of our economy” with “large-scale reform of the energy sector” and the separation of energy transmission and distribution from generation is interesting depending how that can be expedited, including the introduction of Georgian Energy Exchange ensuring the “implementation of competitive and open market principles in the energy market”. This really has much potential for BLOE.
The 'South Caucasus pipeline (ultimately delivering natural gas to Europe) has increased by an average of 25%, in total it has increased by 92% compared to 2020'. Transit for 2023 was 8.21bcm. Pipeline capacity is 24.04bcm/yr, and noting it runs across Project 3 (most notably, right through Block XIF (and XIB, within circa 25km/15miles)) it offers an opportunity to connect and export gas from Blocks discovery of 1TCF (28bn cubic meters), ie, it would take over a year at full capacity just to drain estimated Project 3 gas reserves.
The gasification project providing natural gas to around 94% of Georgia’s population, ie, 3.5M people across 27k square miles combined with improved infrastructure and gas available demonstrates inward investment delivering economic growth opportunities, subsuming BLOE, so again we can anticipate improved trading.
This is the main opportunity, and its not "jam tomorrow" given the dates provided. The pipeline has been operational for some time and the technical problem will be connecting to it. Politics plays a positive aspect too; EU is not keen on 100% dependence on Azerbaijan for gas, so adding from Georgia will help and encourage further investment.
That leaves the oil. Reading between the commentary, appears will mainly be exported, given the focus on hydro electric power generation x 12 HPP y/e 2024 (very ambitious), however adds further support for the share-price.
The other mention is the Black Sea submarine power cable project, concurrently designed to improve internet communications and provide electricity, reducing the reliance on Russian infrastructure. Not really relevant to dialogue here, but an indication where Georgian politics is focussed.
In conclusion, for BLOE it confirms why gas is now the key. The rest is peripheral support, progress is ongoing, so not jam tomorrow but a clear indication that many moving parts are working together towards achieving a focussed output of which BLOE seems to be very integral.