Heywoods TMS Interview Analysis13 May 2026 09:02
Some interesting comments there, with typical heywood vagueness. Clear numbers; $75m carry, Aspect @ $95m, gabons 20-40m barrels with additional potential, 3500 bopd, $20m–$25m free cash flow and the 2.77tcf fgas.
These aer exciting prospects but the company needs to turn them into deliverables. I'm sure they're doing that but pursuing new opportunities before proving delivery on existing is whats holding the price down. Proving at least one of the existing will drive value up, obviously, and I am confident that will happen, whether Sanning farm-out, Proj3 flow rates, or of course the CCS which has such potential. I suggest people also google oeklers latest research on that too (reduced water requirement).
Block will not re-rate because heywood says the market will wake up. That will only happen when one of the big claims becomes difficult for the market to ignore: signed Sanning completion, funded drilling, confirmed gas flows, Gabon CPR, or partner-funded development activity.
Expect the sanning farm-out agreement H2 2026.
Bottom line, heywood needs to move from progression statements to commitments, timing and funded programs. Block has serious value claims, but market will only re-rate when at least one becomes a funded, dated, contractual or operational deliverable. Pursuing new opportunities before proving delivery on existing ones is partly what is holding the share price back.