RE: The Sorrell Paradox8 Aug 2025 08:27
Heres my take , interestingly I notice both of those Linkedin posters are or have been SFOR shareholders despite claiming to despise Sorrell.
'And for a brief, shining moment, it worked. The stock hit 878p, the valuation touched £5.2bn, and traditional holding companies nervously adjusted their ties.'
Seems the Linkedin poster is conflating share price performance/ valuation with company success/ performance.
The stock hitting £5 billion market cap was the market predicting huge future growth, based on the current trajectory of growth which was fueled by acquisitions and tech ad spend.
'Here's what Sorrell diplomatically calls "wider market uncertainty": tech companies, who represent roughly half of S4's revenue, have discovered they can build AI systems that do in minutes what agencies charge millions to do in months. It's not that they're cutting marketing budgets - they're just redirecting them from agencies to Nvidia chips.
This is particularly awkward for S4, whose entire model was built on servicing tech giants with ultra-efficient digital production. Turns out when you make your selling point "we're 40% more efficient than traditional agencies," your clients might start wondering what 100% efficiency looks like. Spoiler: it looks like an AI model that doesn't need vacation days or fly business class to Cannes.
The real kicker? S4's content business - the heart of that "faster, cheaper, better" promise - saw profits crater 70% last year with margins of just 2.6%. That's not a business model; that's a charity with invoicing.'
Poster fails to mention profit margins were worse at the £5 billion valuation but he was ok with that back then as his shares had gone up !
Heres the rub the poster clearly thinks the drop off in tech ad spend is because the tech companies have been using AI to create their own ads. They haven't and the drop off in ad spend is partly because they have been spending so much 'tooling up' and developing AI to get ahead of the competiton.