focusIR May 2024 Investor Webinar: Blue Whale, Kavango, Taseko Mines & CQS Natural Resources. Catch up with the webinar here.
For the novices, can someone explain what happens next. In my limited experience of AIM explorers so far (this year), great news always seems to result in an instant drop in SP as everyone and their bandwagon sells the news. How will this differ? When will this have an impact on the SP and how is it that the II's cannot buy in now and we can hoover up more shares as stated? Seriously overweight in this company and seen nothing but red for 6 months so VERY interested.
That may be the most informative response I had on any subject, certainly from someone I've not communicated with before.
You are clearly a gentleman and a scholar with a generous spirit.
Thankyou
Great news.
So many players in this field seem to be on the cusp of greatness but are frustrated by perceived government inefficiencies. Does anyone have an opinion on which of the AIM listed health diagnostic companies such as AVCT, ODX, ABDX, ONC, NYCT etc are most likely to see imminent success that reflects positively for shareholders?
HI, I'm new here.
Please put Mudwack down for the 6/8/21.
THANKS. GLA
Thanks again for your invaluable opinions. I've decided the following.
Buy More soon: PAT , HE1, ORR.
Average down when the time is right: , OMI, UFO, RMM
Hold as I already have too much: GGP, EUA, COBR, ECR,
Hold and do more DD: AVCT, TYM, PUR, MTR, ORPH, RMS, ONC, OHCI, SSW, RBW, CCZ, GFIN, PERE, OMI, NCYT, HMX, CY5, A1G.
Purge at a loss:
HEMO, RGO, CTEA, QS, KNB, BOE, CWR, GSK, IDEX, ITM, AGH, ACRL.
As some of you have correctly pointed out, I cannot have researched all of these to proper depth. Can you advise any good resources where I can learn more about how to do that?
And one final question: Are there any exceptions to the buy the rumour, sell the news rule?
Thanks again for your invaluable opinions. I've decided the following.
Buy More soon: PAT , HE1, ORR.
Average down when the time is right: , OMI, UFO, RMM
Hold as I already have too much: GGP, EUA, COBR, ECR,
Hold and do more DD: AVCT, TYM, PUR, MTR, ORPH, RMS, ONC, OHCI, SSW, RBW, CCZ, GFIN, PERE, OMI, NCYT, HMX, CY5, A1G.
Purge at a loss:
HEMO, RGO, CTEA, QS, KNB, BOE, CWR, GSK, IDEX, ITM, AGH, ACRL.
As some of you have correctly pointed out, I cannot have researched all of these to proper depth. Can you advise any good resources where I can learn more about how to do that?
And one final question: Are there any exceptions to the buy the rumour, sell the news rule?
Thankyou all who responded. I conclude that the reasons for my losses essentially boil down to four compounding factors.
1. TOO MANY COMPANIES
I have spread myself too thin and need to focus deeper research on fewer companies, also watch more, buy fewer, initially.
For those who questioned the quantity of companies I am invested in, I will clarify by mentioning that 90% of my current paper loss comes from being overweight in GGP and EUA, followed by PAT, ECR, RMM and COBR. All Junior miners. The rest are just smaller investments of just £1-2k to put them on my radar, pending deeper DD.. The page of red they now occupy certainly tells a story of its own. Conclusion - SELL some.
2. TIMING
The timing has been bad for my first foray into junior miners this year. If the timing has been bad for seven months, presumably this suggests I should HOLD for better times, which some suggest could start seasonally in September.
Conclusion - HOLD
3. LONGEVITY
Being longer term plays, I haven’t held these stocks for long enough for them to do what I bought them for. They are good companies that I am into at an early stage which are suffering currently for some explainable reasons and so I just need to grin and bear it in the meantime. Also HOLD.
4. MANIPULATION
The Aim market is manipulated more than I appreciated. To work out whether this means I should BUY more, SELL or HOLD, I’d like to know: Whilst a stock showing clear signs of manipulation is frustrating in the short term, does it increase the likelihood that it will rise significantly at some point in the not too distant future? If the MM’s are sufficiently motivated to depress prices while II’s etc accumulate, is that necessarily a sign that it will pop once their masters, and indeed themselves have had their fill? Surely things have to go up for any accumulator to benefit and their interest and actions suggest that they believe it will? Between the II’s and the MM’s they have greater expertise and advanced information than we do so surely following stocks that they bother to manipulate for months on end, buying them at the similar prices that they are, is advisable in the long term?
I have dry powder, yet to invest. Assuming I still have faith in my analysis, it is still hard to work out whether to:
A. Buy into the perceived added value of lower prices to average down on the ones I retain most faith in.
B. Sell into the current downturn to buy back cheaper later
C. Run for the hills.
With the conclusions of one SELL and two HOLDS above, it looks like the answer may depend on the answer to the question in point 4.
Thankyou.
Thankyou all who responded. I conclude that the reasons for my losses essentially boil down to four compounding factors.
1. TOO MANY COMPANIES
I have spread myself too thin and need to focus deeper research on fewer companies, also watch more, buy fewer, initially.
For those who questioned the quantity of companies I am invested in, I will clarify by mentioning that 90% of my current paper loss comes from being overweight in GGP and EUA, followed by PAT, ECR, RMM and COBR. All Junior miners. The rest are just smaller investments of just £1-2k to put them on my radar, pending deeper DD.. The page of red they now occupy certainly tells a story of its own. Conclusion - SELL some.
2. TIMING
The timing has been bad for my first foray into junior miners this year. If the timing has been bad for seven months, presumably this suggests I should HOLD for better times, which some suggest could start seasonally in September.
Conclusion - HOLD
3. LONGEVITY
Being longer term plays, I haven’t held these stocks for long enough for them to do what I bought them for. They are good companies that I am into at an early stage which are suffering currently for some explainable reasons and so I just need to grin and bear it in the meantime. Also HOLD.
4. MANIPULATION
The Aim market is manipulated more than I appreciated. To work out whether this means I should BUY more, SELL or HOLD, I’d like to know: Whilst a stock showing clear signs of manipulation is frustrating in the short term, does it increase the likelihood that it will rise significantly at some point in the not too distant future? If the MM’s are sufficiently motivated to depress prices while II’s etc accumulate, is that necessarily a sign that it will pop once their masters, and indeed themselves have had their fill? Surely things have to go up for any accumulator to benefit and their interest and actions suggest that they believe it will? Between the II’s and the MM’s they have greater expertise and advanced information than we do so surely following stocks that they bother to manipulate for months on end, buying them at the similar prices that they are, is advisable in the long term?
I have dry powder, yet to invest. Assuming I still have faith in my analysis, it is still hard to work out whether to:
A. Buy into the perceived added value of lower prices to average down
B. Sell into the current downturn to buy back cheaper later
C. Run for the hills.
With the conclusions of one sell and two holds above, it looks like the answer may depend on the answer to the question in point 4.
Thankyou.
Please excuse the brief hijacking of this board to seek opinions on a broader outlook from more experienced members. I spent a few successful years in the main market, but have since lost double my gains there since being seduced into the AIM market by some friends who multibagged on one investment at the start of this year. I found this site and have valued the excellent factual information and opinions provided. I had hoped my first post would be one of elation but that ambition has been stretched too thin for today. I am now in the red on every one of COBR, PAT, RMM, GGP, EUA, CCZ, IQAI, HE1, PALM, ONC, KAV, CHF, PMG, ECR, ORR, ZNWD, GATO, PERE, THR, ORPH, HMX, PUR, MTR, RBW, TYM, UFO, ORR, to name a few. Many of you should be familiar with many of these. Are you as familiar with the thorough diversification of loss that I am experiencing through them?
The responsibility is entirely my own of course but I am a little confused. Whilst I did pick up tips here, I didn’t invest in anything due to ramping or hearsay. I did my research and concluded that there was opportunity for value investing that would normally result in relatively predictable gains on the main market. But here neither calculated or nor perceived value or even positive RNS’s seem to have much relation to direction of price. If anything good news seems to have negative impacts. I know these are all longer term plays but I have to confess I didn’t anticipate enduring this level of pain on every front in the interim. Can they all really be suppressed by mm’s for dark pool accumulation? Seven months of claims of manipulation are starting to ring hollow. This isn’t a bid for sympathy, just deeper understanding. It is only made more frustrating by reading in the wider press that many of the commodities that these companies represent are experiencing a good year. I know it is a higher risk environment but is it always like this? Are these extraordinary circumstances, bad investments, poor timing, newbie jitters that I should just get over and wait for any one of these investments to make it all worth it, or all of the above?
The positivity here is infectious. How it is maintained in a quagmire of depreciation seems extraordinary when my experience of AIM has so far been more akin to constant blood-letting through a large rusty needle.
Apologies for the un-positive vibe but I’m sure constructive answers may also be of benefit to others.
Please excuse the brief hijacking of this board to seek opinions on a broader outlook from more experienced members. I spent a few successful years in the main market, but have since lost double my gains there since being seduced into the AIM market by some friends who multibagged on one investment at the start of this year. I found this site and have valued the excellent factual information and opinions provided. I had hoped my first post would be one of elation but that ambition has been stretched too thin for today. I am now in the red on every one of COBR, PAT, RMM, GGP, EUA, CCZ, IQAI, HE1, PALM, ONC, KAV, CHF, PMG, ECR, ORR, ZNWD, GATO, PERE, THR, ORPH, HMX, PUR, MTR, RBW, TYM, UFO, ORR, to name a few. Many of you should be familiar with many of these. Are you as familiar with the thorough diversification of loss that I am experiencing through them?
The responsibility is entirely my own of course but I am a little confused. Whilst I did pick up tips here, I didn’t invest in anything due to ramping or hearsay. I did my research and concluded that there was opportunity for value investing that would normally result in relatively predictable gains on the main market. But here neither calculated or nor perceived value or even positive RNS’s seem to have much relation to direction of price. If anything good news seems to have negative impacts. I know these are all longer term plays but I have to confess I didn’t anticipate enduring this level of pain on every front in the interim. Can they all really be suppressed by mm’s for dark pool accumulation? Seven months of claims of manipulation are starting to ring hollow. This isn’t a bid for sympathy, just deeper understanding. It is only made more frustrating by reading in the wider press that many of the commodities that these companies represent are experiencing a good year. I know it is a higher risk environment but is it always like this? Are these extraordinary circumstances, bad investments, poor timing, newbie jitters that I should just get over and wait for any one of these investments to make it all worth it, or all of the above?
The positivity here is infectious. How it is maintained in a quagmire of depreciation seems extraordinary when my experience of AIM has so far been more akin to constant blood-letting through a large rusty needle.
Apologies for the un-positive vibe but I’m sure constructive answers may also be of benefit to others.