Member Info for Adw198

I asked it if Rampers or Deeampers were more common and this was the answer.

On share bulletin boards (like Reddit’s r/stocks or r/pennystocks, ADVFN, Stocktwits, etc.), both rampers (who try to pump up a stock’s price) and derampers (who try to drive it down) are present. However, rampers tend to be more common for several reasons:

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📈 Why Rampers Are More Common:

1. Incentive to Promote Holdings (Pump-and-Dump Tactics):

Many posters own the stock they’re discussing, so they’re naturally inclined to talk it up to boost price and sentiment.

2. Herd Mentality & FOMO:

It’s easier to gather support for optimism than pessimism, especially in speculative forums. Positive sentiment spreads faster.

3. More Engagement for Bullish Posts:

Bullish posts tend to get more attention, likes, and replies. This reinforces the behavior of ramping.

4. Culture of Speculation:

Many retail bulletin boards are driven by speculative plays (e.g., penny stocks, biotech, crypto). In these circles, “to the moon” narratives dominate.

I’ve said quite explicitly I don’t hold and would find it hard to consider buying in with a massive funding gap to be resolved (although I suppose everything has a price).

I’ve also said if / when there’s a raise it might be a buying opportunity- again that will depend on the price and my assessment of the prospects at that point.

Can’t say fairer than that.

Oops fat fingers there. Not quite up there with accidentally buying £20k instead of £2k worth of stock but…

Please tell us how you think we’ll profit from a raise and how what anyone says here will make a raise more or less likely?!

“It's quite possible that Doc, Wigster, Adw etc ( if Wigster is actually just a buddy of Doc's ) have formed some kind of a syndicate focused on profiting from a raise. So they work collectively towards " promoting " that end.”

According to you only an hour ago the SP will shoot up shortly before a raise.

So please tell me (us) what you think the strategy is and how what

Companies usually do a raise on the back of good news that has increased the price. That’s entirely logical and no surprise.

The guy who swore blind it was the month of the year that dictated price appears to have changed his tune out of necessity, ie his previous 10 year chart hasn’t worked the one year he predicted so he need to find a new narrative to peddle. It’s pretty tragic for him and amusing for us.

Dangerous for you m o n g s game going back over old comments.

Funny for me though seeing how you were equally assertive and utterly wrong on pretty much everything.

May as well leave it there though.

Here’s investor before his personality transplant agreeing with my raise analysis. Other than the scale of his losses and disproven charting predictions, I wonder what changed?

“21 Oct 2024 09:22

Adw198 ; clearly you take an objective view of this share and the pros and cons. That's called doing due diligence.


‘I tend to agree with your take on the likelihood of another raise post H1 and H2. I used to argue with someone called ' professional ' on here on the grounds that there wouldn't be another raise following the granting of the LP. Well, I was wrong, and it taught me a lesson.’

I’m just going thru some old posts found this gem of mine

“Red flags are not knowing what it costs to extract, export and sell - and being reliant on the neighbours to do that. Another one being the failure to get a deal agreed at an appropriate time despite years of fore warning.

Then add the fact that so far H2 appears not to flow at anything beyond barely commercial rates - is that a one off or trend for the field?“

My red flag klaxon has aged well. Investors charting skills less so :)

Fair play Abzzba you must have trawled back a long way to find that. It’s still true though, what part of those statements are you disagreeing with and why?

What was the happy path I referred to - if you’ve got the full quotes I’d love to see them.

Proquo just making up quotes, trying to have a conversation with people he pretends to have filtered - nothing has changed there.

Similarly there’s still a funding gap because the “company maker” Heron1 isn’t doing the 800bopd they told us it would - it’s doing 160bopd and diminishing each update. Although the company only reserve payment for 112 of those barrels at the moment anyway.

Set against that is a $220k monthly wage bill.

I’ve got no issue if someone thinks there won’t be a raise. It’s an opinion on a binary event. It would be nice to hear some reasoning rather than a daily “I told you so” which will doubtless soon be replaced by them telling us how great the raise is.

Evening Gigi

Might be worth you double checking the thread tittle you’ve got involved in and checking who started it.

I’ll continue to provide some analysis and will respond to people goading me about there not being a raise…YET. Reminds me of the time you all attacked me for saying the October RNS did NOT say there was a deal to sell. How did that work out?

I’ve always acknowledged there might be a takeover announced that negates the need for a raise. I also recognise that nobody is right all of the time.

I’m 98% sure there will be a raise and expect it this month.

It’s called a balanced analysis.

“Was there a raise today, thought not, that's around 6 months the bashers been telling us a raise is imminent”

If / when it comes, it’ll most likely be after the market closes like the 3 previous ones. So this could blow up in your face even more than your previous back catalogue of humiliating failed assertions.

Why don’t you make yourself useful and fly over there and fit your famous sandscreen for them?!

@jimi

CEOs always play down the need for a raise because if they were fully transparent the SP would crash wouldn’t it. I don’t have an issue with it, certainly not unless they tell an outright lie like stating categorically there won’t be one - which he didn’t do last year and notably hasn’t said this either. Instead he Passed a motion allowing for a raise (sensible imo) and specifically said part of the reason was to allow Retails investors to get involved too.

I think sometimes it’s easier than others to read between the lines, especially when coupled with expenditure that exceeds income.

The disappearing of certain posters and emergence of new ones who have already been caught lying all point to an IMMINENT raise imo. If they don’t then don’t expect any operational activity this season.

Ha ok mate, thanks for clarifying.you deliberately tried to mislead that you were a holder.

So YOUR VERSION is you created an account on July 1st, making 23 posts about one share you don’t own, showing some in depth knowledge of Mongolia and the history here, trying to rally complaints to the FCA - all as a non holder.

All whilst admitting you have little knowledge of AIM.

Hilarious! Are there any other false claims you’ve deliberately made as a test?!

“i think genuine investors should keep speaking up in these conversations to push back against the unfair share price suppression. maybe if a few of us genuine holders approach the fca, it could help stop the unfair bullying by big shareholders—at least for a while.“

“Us genuine holders”, you say Mlbeckm.

As recently as yday you said you weren’t even invested here. And within a day, not only have you jumped in, but you’ve decided things are being unlawfully suppressed and trying to organise an approach to the FCA.

Please explain?

“Sadly we have no control on the SP. The company has gone from 2.5p to1.2p on 40bopd difference”

Come on Master, that’s so far from the truth. When was the SP 2.5p? It’s been consistently under 2p for almost all the time since the Heron 2 result.

As doc has flagged H1 was expected to increase from 200bopd, not

go backwards. We’ve also since been told there’s a tax dispute / withholding of 30% of income. That’s a big negative. Bad news drops the SP, not some evil plan from the MMs. Do you really think if they announced Heron was doing 800bopd and we’d been paid in full it would be held here?!

In anycase the SP has been lower than this when it was doing 200bopd, so it’s really not a fair or accurate comment.

Yes I think I agree with Thorn, they haven’t done (or even announced) any work yet because they can’t afford it. Despite what people here claimed about being full funded for this years ops plan.

Other explanations welcome so to what they’re waiting for?

All of which is further evidence they’ll raise to do the work, on the basis they hope it’ll increase the upside to a potential partner (which was on of the primary reasons given for drilling Gobi initially)

Let me help you out here Abzzba.

You said the SP would be 5p in June. It’s now July.

Those of us who understand profit and loss identified the need for a raise - but I don’t recall anyone saying exactly when it would happen.

I suppose I did say I expected it in June and I WAS WRONG about that. But when the raise comes I’ll be proved right. 5p in June is forever added to you back catalogue of completly discredited claims.

Hi LWHL

You seem a very measured / disciplined investor, I enjoy your posts.

Whats your thoughts on the forthcoming trading update? I’ve said I think the LFLs look well primed given the underperformance in the same period last year and the good weather this time. Also seems supported by some (if not all) of the retail data, especially that Citi were quoting.

All looks promising, albeit I realise holding for results is a risky business!

Cheers