RE: 34p. Price target (Hamman)29 Dec 2025 11:09
Metals Exploration
Q4 expectations
We expect production of 16.9koz for Q4, with revenues of US$69m, EBITDA of US$47m,
and NPAT of US$25.6m. We also expect an update on progress in Nicaragua with the
development of the La India project. Management has guided for production at Runruno
of 65koz-70koz following the impact of November’s a typhoon on infrastructure. We
expect full year production of 67koz at an AISC of US$1,306/oz.
Focus for 2026
For 2026, we expect production of 76koz at an AISC of US$1,140/oz from Runruno with
first production from the La India project in Nicaragua before the end of the year.
Exploration results should also be released from the Dupax polymetallic project in the
Philippines that, with plant modifications, could extend operations at Runruno.
Valuation
Our DCF-based SOTP valuation is GBp34/share, based on 1x NAV for Runruno and 0.75x
for La India. Our previous valuation was GBp25/share with the difference due to our
updated gold price assumptions.