RE: Updated shareholdings20 Jun 2026 21:52
In my view, H1 has actually gone very well, but I never thought H1 was going to be where the real value was unlocked. That was H2, so the litmus test for Empires figure valuation starts in 2 weeks.
What we’ve seen over the last 6 months is a huge amount of work happening in the background. Frustrating for some, but the biggest drilling programme ever taken on by Empire has been completed, we’ve continued to expand Pitfields footprint and we’ve secured another £7m of funding, taking the cash position to around £14.5m, we’ve brought Zeus on board alongside Canaccord, we’ve delivered a fully integrated flowsheet and, importantly, started talking about premium TiO2 products, titanium feedstock and now potentially alumina as a valuable co-product.
H1 was about reducing risk and every time we answered another technical unknown, the project became easier to understand and with that, value it. The truth is, 6 months ago people could still question whether Pitfield was just a large titanium resource, but now we have a much clearer picture of how mgt intend to turn it into a fully integrated titanium business.
That is why I think H2 is where the big value drivers await. We still have the MRE upgrade to come, further drilling results including Cosgrove, more detail around the economics, potential broker updates (when latest updates can be valued), possible strategic interest and whatever additional work David Parker, Michael Tamlin and the team are doing behind the scenes with end users and the supply chain.
At 35p or thereabouts (MC £260m) the market appears to be acknowledging that Pitfield is significant, but IMHO, it’s still a long way from pricing it as a future globally significant titanium project. Right now the market is saying show me the next layer of proof!
Whether that gets us to 50p, 70p, £1 by Aug, Sept or Christmas time is impossible to know, but my overall view hasn’t changed one bit. If anything, my confidence in the direction of travel (Simon Jordan Phrase sorry) has increased, even if the timing remains uncertain.
The biggest change for me is that Empire now looks like a company building a titanium business rather than proving up a titanium resource, and I suspect that distinction is where a lot of the future value will ultimately come from.
Thanks to AGEOS for the reminder and refresh on the shareholder side of the story. I am fully aligned with the view that the level of ownership and continued commitment from Claire Barnes and associated Asian investment interests is a very positive signal. It’s obviously no guarantee of success, but when investors of that calibre, experience and background continue to maintain meaningful positions, it is difficult to view that as anything other than encouraging. They’ll have their own reasons for investing, but from my perspective it certainly adds to my confidence which had already determined Pitfield as a compelling investment opportunity.
ML